11-25-23, 11:12 AM
No Tricks Zone
Unstable Models: NOAA Substantially Cools Its December Mean Temperature Forecast For Europe
By P Gosselin on 25. November 2023
Excerpt:
2°C downward correction
Overall the NOAA had been forecasting a very mild winter for this year. But that forecast has been cooled down a bit, at least the early part of the winter.
The NOAA’s latest GFS run has substantially cooled the temperature outlook for December. In its earlier projection, it saw December in Europe coming in 1 to 2°C warmer than the long-term mean:
LINK
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I am not surprised as my next post makes clear that the National Weather Service is at or near the bottom for weather forcasting success as they are frequently worse than other forecasting groups.
Unstable Models: NOAA Substantially Cools Its December Mean Temperature Forecast For Europe
By P Gosselin on 25. November 2023
Excerpt:
2°C downward correction
Overall the NOAA had been forecasting a very mild winter for this year. But that forecast has been cooled down a bit, at least the early part of the winter.
The NOAA’s latest GFS run has substantially cooled the temperature outlook for December. In its earlier projection, it saw December in Europe coming in 1 to 2°C warmer than the long-term mean:
LINK
==================
I am not surprised as my next post makes clear that the National Weather Service is at or near the bottom for weather forcasting success as they are frequently worse than other forecasting groups.
“A theory that is not refutable by any conceivable event is non-scientific.” – Karl Popper
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