10-25-22, 08:52 PM
From HERE
The current AGW alarm is solely based on provably wrong climate models. This post is merely one proof. There are several others:
Christy has shown since 2017 that almost all models produce a tropical troposphere hotspot that radiosondes prove does not exist. The exception is INM CM5, which took pains to get (2) parameterized correctly.
ARGO has shown that models produce half the observed ocean rainfall. That means their water vapor feedback is too high, the likely reason for (1).
WE has just shown here that the CERES observed 21 years of cloud feedback is moderately negative. IPCC and models have it significantly positive. WE also showed that the negative feedback is remarkably constant over 4 separately analyzed 5/year sub periods.
Models predicted that Arctic amplification would have eliminated Arctic summer sea ice by about 2014. For 2022, the minimum was 4.68 Wadhams (million km^2, named in honor of the UK expert who most prominently made the erroneous prediction). This fact also supports Andy May’s ending conclusion.
Models predicted that sae level rise would accelerate.This goes back to Hansen about 1990. SLR has NOT accelerated. See my old post ‘Sea level rise, acceleration, and closure’ for details.
It only takes one proof to kill climate models. When there are at least 6, you are truly beating a dead horse. The reason modelers don’t acknowledge their horse is dead is simple. Money. Too many careers vested in climate modeling.
The current AGW alarm is solely based on provably wrong climate models. This post is merely one proof. There are several others:
Christy has shown since 2017 that almost all models produce a tropical troposphere hotspot that radiosondes prove does not exist. The exception is INM CM5, which took pains to get (2) parameterized correctly.
ARGO has shown that models produce half the observed ocean rainfall. That means their water vapor feedback is too high, the likely reason for (1).
WE has just shown here that the CERES observed 21 years of cloud feedback is moderately negative. IPCC and models have it significantly positive. WE also showed that the negative feedback is remarkably constant over 4 separately analyzed 5/year sub periods.
Models predicted that Arctic amplification would have eliminated Arctic summer sea ice by about 2014. For 2022, the minimum was 4.68 Wadhams (million km^2, named in honor of the UK expert who most prominently made the erroneous prediction). This fact also supports Andy May’s ending conclusion.
Models predicted that sae level rise would accelerate.This goes back to Hansen about 1990. SLR has NOT accelerated. See my old post ‘Sea level rise, acceleration, and closure’ for details.
It only takes one proof to kill climate models. When there are at least 6, you are truly beating a dead horse. The reason modelers don’t acknowledge their horse is dead is simple. Money. Too many careers vested in climate modeling.
“A theory that is not refutable by any conceivable event is non-scientific.” – Karl Popper
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