Rud Istvan comment

[Sunsettommy]

From HERE

An IPCC observation, triggered by Nic’s new paper and your independent finding.
AR6 based on CMIP6 raised the MINIMUM probable ECS to 2.5C from 1.5C in AR5. Nic redid Sherwood to find ~2. WE independently found ~2. The only two CMIP6 models below 2 were INM CM4.8 and CM5.0. They produced 1.9 and 1.8 respectively. And neither produced a tropical troposphere hotspot, while all the others incorrectly did. This seems to show conclusively that both CMIP6 and IPCC are biased hot, producing climate alarm when none is objectively warranted.

Other BIG IPCC alarms have also proven false:

Arctic summer sea ice did not disappear.
Sea level rise did not accelerate.
Buffered ocean did not ‘acidify; the GBR is doing fine despite Cook University claims otherwise and firing Peter Ridd for challenging those false claims.

[Sunsettommy]

From HERE

Further ECS observations based on the last sentence of Nic’s abstract “values between 1.5C and 2C are quite plausible.” Nic’s earlier EBM work gave about 1.65C. Calendar’s 1938 curve gives 1.68. Lindzen’s Bode feedback method using WE scatterplot slight negative cloud feedback gives something just under 1.7 when halving the IPCC WVF f =0.5 based on the new ARGO ocean rainfall findings twice what is modeled.

But whatever ECS actually is, anything 2 or under proves IPCC AR6 alarm bias and cancels the IPCC alarm.

[Billy_Bob Systems Administration]

From HERE

Further ECS observations based on the last sentence of Nic’s abstract “values between 1.5C and 2C are quite plausible.” Nic’s earlier EBM work gave about 1.65C. Calendar’s 1938 curve gives 1.68. Lindzen’s Bode feedback method using WE scatterplot slight negative cloud feedback gives something just under 1.7 when halving the IPCC WVF f =0.5 based on the new ARGO ocean rainfall findings twice what is modeled.

But whatever ECS actually is, anything 2 or under proves IPCC AR6 alarm bias and cancels the IPCC alarm.

And the ECS is still too high.  0.6-0.8 deg C.   The models are still doubling the warming that we are seeing in empirical evidence.