Patriot Action
"Those who would give up essential liberty to purchase a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety."
*Benjamin Franklin, Historical Review of Pennsylvania, 1759
.
  • Search
  • Member List
  • Calendar
  • Help
Hello There, Guest! Login Register
Login
Username/Email:
Password:
Lost Password?
 
.
Join the discussions here at Patriot Action --->> New Registrations
Patriot Action › Earth › Climate Discussions - News › Comment Discussions from outside the forum v
« Previous 1 2

Rud Istvan comment

Thread Closed 
Thread Rating:
  • 0 Vote(s) - 0 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
Threaded Mode
Rud Istvan comment
Sunsettommy Offline
Patriot Master
*******
Administrators
Posts: 1,843
Threads: 911
Joined: Aug 2022
Reputation: 67
#1
10-21-22, 10:48 PM
From HERE

An IPCC observation, triggered by Nic’s new paper and your independent finding.
AR6 based on CMIP6 raised the MINIMUM probable ECS to 2.5C from 1.5C in AR5. Nic redid Sherwood to find ~2. WE independently found ~2. The only two CMIP6 models below 2 were INM CM4.8 and CM5.0. They produced 1.9 and 1.8 respectively. And neither produced a tropical troposphere hotspot, while all the others incorrectly did. This seems to show conclusively that both CMIP6 and IPCC are biased hot, producing climate alarm when none is objectively warranted.

Other BIG IPCC alarms have also proven false:

Arctic summer sea ice did not disappear.
Sea level rise did not accelerate.
Buffered ocean did not ‘acidify; the GBR is doing fine despite Cook University claims otherwise and firing Peter Ridd for challenging those false claims.
“A theory that is not refutable by any conceivable event is non-scientific.” – Karl Popper

Terms of Service

Moderation Guidelines



Find
Sunsettommy Offline
Patriot Master
*******
Administrators
Posts: 1,843
Threads: 911
Joined: Aug 2022
Reputation: 67
#2
10-21-22, 10:49 PM
From HERE

Further ECS observations based on the last sentence of Nic’s abstract “values between 1.5C and 2C are quite plausible.” Nic’s earlier EBM work gave about 1.65C. Calendar’s 1938 curve gives 1.68. Lindzen’s Bode feedback method using WE scatterplot slight negative cloud feedback gives something just under 1.7 when halving the IPCC WVF f =0.5 based on the new ARGO ocean rainfall findings twice what is modeled.

But whatever ECS actually is, anything 2 or under proves IPCC AR6 alarm bias and cancels the IPCC alarm.
“A theory that is not refutable by any conceivable event is non-scientific.” – Karl Popper

Terms of Service

Moderation Guidelines



Find
Billy_Bob Offline
Systems Administration
*******
Webmaster
Posts: 1,878
Threads: 448
Joined: Sep 2022
Reputation: 74
#3
10-22-22, 09:38 AM
(10-21-22, 10:49 PM)Sunsettommy Wrote: From HERE

Further ECS observations based on the last sentence of Nic’s abstract “values between 1.5C and 2C are quite plausible.” Nic’s earlier EBM work gave about 1.65C. Calendar’s 1938 curve gives 1.68. Lindzen’s Bode feedback method using WE scatterplot slight negative cloud feedback gives something just under 1.7 when halving the IPCC WVF f =0.5 based on the new ARGO ocean rainfall findings twice what is modeled.

But whatever ECS actually is, anything 2 or under proves IPCC AR6 alarm bias and cancels the IPCC alarm.

And the ECS is still too high.  0.6-0.8 deg C.   The models are still doubling the warming that we are seeing in empirical evidence.
Those who would give up essential liberty to purchase a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety.
Benjamin Franklin, Historical Review of Pennsylvania, 1759


E-mail: systemadmin@patriotaction.us
Find
« Next Oldest | Next Newest »
Thread Closed 


Possibly Related Threads…
Thread Author Replies Views Last Post
  Rud Istvan comment Sunsettommy 4 39 05-16-23, 02:49 PM
Last Post: Sunsettommy
  Rud Istvan's comment Sunsettommy 1 101 03-02-23, 11:30 AM
Last Post: Billy_Bob
  Rud Istvan comment Sunsettommy 0 151 11-01-22, 12:28 PM
Last Post: Sunsettommy
  Rud Istvan comment Sunsettommy 3 446 10-27-22, 09:02 PM
Last Post: Billy_Bob
  Rud Istvan comment Sunsettommy 6 747 10-23-22, 08:19 AM
Last Post: Billy_Bob

  • View a Printable Version
Forum Jump:


Users browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)
  • Forum Team
  • Contact Us
  • Patriot Action
  • Return to Top
  • Lite (Archive) Mode
  • Mark all forums read
  • RSS Syndication
Current time: 05-29-23, 04:35 PM Powered By MyBB, © 2002-2023 MyBB Group.